Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-12-13 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes (SO)

Win Probability

PHI: 42.1%

CAR: 57.9%

Expected Goals

PHI: 2.95

CAR: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs CAR: 1-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-09	PHI 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-07	PHI 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-04	CAR 3 - 2 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-05-02	CAR 3 - 0 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-04-13	PHI 3 - 2 CAR	PHI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	11	1	0.72
1	CAR	11	1	0.93
2	PHI	13	0	0.89
2	CAR	17	0	0.95
3	PHI	2	0	0.30
3	CAR	16	1	1.11
4	PHI	1	0	0.11
4	CAR	3	0	0.40
5	PHI	4	0	0.29
5	CAR	4	1	1.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1