Washington Capitals at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2025-12-13 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 5 - 1 Washington Capitals
🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 43.7%
WSH: 56.3%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.07
WSH: 3.40
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | WPG | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.867 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.960 | 0.857 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs WSH: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | WPG 5 - 1 WSH | WPG | WSH |
| 2025-11-26 | WSH 4 - 3 WPG | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-03-25 | WPG 3 - 2 WSH | WPG | WSH |
| 2025-02-01 | WSH 4 - 5 WPG | WPG | WSH |
| 2024-03-24 | WSH 3 - 0 WPG | WSH | WSH |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 5 - 1 Washington Capitals
Expected: 3.1 - 3.4
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