Detroit Red Wings at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-12-13 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 0 - 4 Detroit Red Wings

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CHI: 39.8%

DET: 60.2%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.02

DET: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

DET

John Gibson - 13-8-1 | 0.893 SV% | 2.97 GAA

Stat	CHI	DET
Season SV%	0.873	0.893
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	4.02	2.97

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	24	20	4	83.3%	2.97	2	-1.03
DET	John Gibson	26	26	0	100.0%	2.34	0	2.34

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • CHI at home vs DET: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-13	CHI 0 - 4 DET	DET	DET
2025-11-09	DET 1 - 5 CHI	CHI	DET
2025-01-10	DET 5 - 3 CHI	DET	DET
2024-11-06	CHI 1 - 4 DET	DET	DET
2024-02-25	CHI 2 - 3 DET	DET	DET

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	13	0	0.73
1	DET	14	0	0.89
2	CHI	12	0	0.78
2	DET	13	1	1.30
3	CHI	19	0	0.84
3	DET	7	1	0.77

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown