Florida Panthers at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-12-13 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 0 - 4 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

DAL: 43.8%

FLA: 56.2%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.16

FLA: 3.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • DAL at home vs FLA: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-13	DAL 0 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-11-01	FLA 4 - 3 DAL	FLA	FLA
2024-11-02	FLA 4 - 2 DAL	FLA	FLA
2024-11-01	DAL 4 - 6 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-03-12	DAL 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	7	1	0.49
1	FLA	8	0	0.26
2	DAL	7	0	0.32
2	FLA	17	0	1.21
3	DAL	13	1	0.77
3	FLA	10	2	1.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 0 - 4 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.9