Vancouver Canucks at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-12-14 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 1 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NJD: 46.8%

VAN: 53.2%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.76

VAN: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Stat	NJD	VAN
Season SV%	0.884	0.905
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.32	2.72

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	15	13	2	86.7%	1.79	1	-0.21
VAN	Thatcher Demko	26	25	1	96.2%	2.84	1	1.84

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 91% • NJD at home vs VAN: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-10	NJD 4 - 1 VAN	NJD	NJD
2026-01-23	VAN 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-12-14	NJD 1 - 2 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-03-24	NJD 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	VAN
2024-10-30	VAN 0 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	8	1	0.66
1	VAN	14	1	1.00
2	NJD	18	0	1.03
2	VAN	11	0	0.64
3	NJD	17	0	1.16
3	VAN	4	0	0.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown