Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-12-14 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers (SO)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 65.8%
PHI: 34.2%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.50
PHI: 1.44
Total Goals
Median: 4.8
Over 5.5: 37%
Over 6.5: 24%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
| Stat | CAR | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.915 | 0.918 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.923 | 0.938 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • CAR at home vs PHI: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | CAR 3 - 2 PHI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-12-13 | PHI 3 - 4 CAR | CAR | PHI |
| 2025-10-11 | CAR 4 - 3 PHI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-03-15 | PHI 0 - 5 CAR | CAR | PHI |
| 2024-11-20 | PHI 1 - 4 CAR | CAR | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:44 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 15:53 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 19:07 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:08 | CAR | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | CAR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 65.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 4.9
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.5 - 1.4