Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-12-14 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers (SO)

Win Probability

CAR: 78.5%

PHI: 21.5%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.26

PHI: 2.42

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs PHI: 6-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-09	PHI 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-07	PHI 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-04	CAR 3 - 2 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-05-02	CAR 3 - 0 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-04-13	PHI 3 - 2 CAR	PHI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	22	0	1.05
1	PHI	7	0	0.44
2	CAR	17	0	1.00
2	PHI	11	1	1.10
3	CAR	17	1	1.03
3	PHI	20	3	1.57
4	CAR	4	0	0.29
4	PHI	1	0	0.17
5	CAR	3	1	1.02
5	PHI	3	0	0.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 78.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 4.3 - 2.4