Boston Bruins at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-12-14 • Grand Casino Arena
Minnesota Wild 6 - 2 Boston Bruins
🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 49.6%
BOS: 50.4%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.06
BOS: 3.44
Total Goals
Median: 7.1
Over 5.5: 77%
Over 6.5: 62%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
| Stat | MIN | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.836 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.885 | 0.862 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MIN at home vs BOS: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | BOS 6 - 3 MIN | BOS | MIN |
| 2025-12-14 | MIN 6 - 2 BOS | MIN | BOS |
| 2025-03-02 | MIN 1 - 0 BOS | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-02-04 | BOS 3 - 0 MIN | BOS | BOS |
| 2023-12-23 | MIN 3 - 2 BOS | MIN | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:11 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 08:49 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 12:57 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 00:54 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 08:08 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 10:58 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 14:55 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 19:59 | MIN | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 6 - 2 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.1 - 3.4
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.