Edmonton Oilers at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2025-12-14 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 4 - 1 Edmonton Oilers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 56.5%
EDM: 43.5%
Expected Goals
MTL: 2.87
EDM: 2.67
Total Goals
Median: 4.2
Over 5.5: 34%
Over 6.5: 21%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
| Stat | MTL | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.964 | 0.862 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • MTL at home vs EDM: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | MTL 4 - 1 EDM | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-10-23 | EDM 6 - 5 MTL | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-03-06 | EDM 3 - 2 MTL | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-11-18 | MTL 3 - 0 EDM | MTL | EDM |
| 2024-03-19 | EDM 3 - 2 MTL | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 02:28 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 11:58 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 03:38 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 12:29 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 13:52 | MTL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 4 - 1 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 2.9 - 2.7
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