Buffalo Sabres at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2025-12-14 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 1 - 3 Buffalo Sabres
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 57.2%
BUF: 42.8%
Expected Goals
SEA: 2.90
BUF: 3.21
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Joey Daccord - 16-13-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.84 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | SEA | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.919 | 0.934 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.909 | 0.958 |
| GAA | 2.77 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 20% • SEA at home vs BUF: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | SEA 1 - 3 BUF | BUF | SEA |
| 2025-01-20 | SEA 6 - 4 BUF | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-01-11 | BUF 2 - 6 SEA | SEA | BUF |
| 2024-03-18 | SEA 2 - 6 BUF | BUF | SEA |
| 2024-01-09 | BUF 2 - 5 SEA | SEA | BUF |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:09 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 12:24 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 10:08 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 19:14 | BUF | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 1 - 3 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 2.9 - 3.2