Ottawa Senators at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-12-15 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators (OT)

Win Probability

WPG: 40.9%

OTT: 59.1%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.05

OTT: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • WPG at home vs OTT: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	OTT 4 - 2 WPG	OTT	OTT
2025-12-15	WPG 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-02-26	OTT 1 - 4 WPG	WPG	OTT
2024-12-28	WPG 4 - 2 OTT	WPG	OTT
2024-03-30	WPG 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	14	1	1.23
1	OTT	13	2	1.14
2	WPG	18	0	0.83
2	OTT	13	0	0.88
3	WPG	9	0	0.55
3	OTT	14	0	0.88
4	WPG	3	1	0.49
4	OTT	4	1	0.47

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1