Nashville Predators at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-12-15 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 2 - 5 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

STL: 55.1%

NSH: 44.9%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.11

NSH: 2.85

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Stat	STL	NSH
Season SV%	0.901	0.897
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.87	2.93

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Joel Hofer	26	21	5	80.8%	3.29	2	-1.71
NSH	Juuse Saros	22	20	2	90.9%	2.32	4	0.32

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • STL at home vs NSH: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	NSH 6 - 5 STL	NSH	NSH
2025-12-27	STL 3 - 2 NSH	STL	STL
2025-12-15	STL 2 - 5 NSH	NSH	STL
2025-12-11	NSH 7 - 2 STL	NSH	STL
2025-03-27	NSH 2 - 3 STL	STL	STL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	8	0	0.49
1	NSH	18	0	0.92
2	STL	11	0	0.20
2	NSH	16	1	1.23
3	STL	16	4	1.63
3	NSH	8	1	1.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown