Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2025-12-15 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 4 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 46.7%
LAK: 53.3%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.21
LAK: 2.70
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 40%
Over 6.5: 29%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 19-14-15 | 0.891 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | DAL | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.916 | 0.833 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.920 | 0.925 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DAL at home vs LAK: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | LAK 1 - 3 DAL | DAL | LAK |
| 2025-12-15 | DAL 4 - 1 LAK | DAL | LAK |
| 2025-10-23 | DAL 2 - 3 LAK | LAK | DAL |
| 2025-02-28 | DAL 6 - 2 LAK | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-02-07 | LAK 5 - 4 DAL | LAK | LAK |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 4 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.2 - 2.7
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