Utah Hockey Club at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2025-12-16 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 4 - 1 Utah Hockey Club
🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 45.5%
UTA: 54.5%
Expected Goals
BOS: 2.72
UTA: 3.10
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 33%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | BOS | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.878 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.952 | — |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • BOS at home vs UTA: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 | BOS 4 - 1 UTA | BOS | UTA |
| 2025-10-19 | UTA 3 - 2 BOS | UTA | UTA |
| 2024-11-21 | BOS 1 - 0 UTA | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-10-19 | UTA 2 - 1 BOS | UTA | UTA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:34 | UTA | Goal |
| 1 | 16:01 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 00:23 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 10:16 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 16:02 | BOS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 4 - 1 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 2.7 - 3.1
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