Utah Hockey Club at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2025-12-16 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 4 - 1 Utah Hockey Club

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 45.4%

UTA: 54.6%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.00

UTA: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BOS at home vs UTA: 2-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-16	BOS 4 - 1 UTA	BOS	UTA
2025-10-19	UTA 3 - 2 BOS	UTA	UTA
2024-11-21	BOS 1 - 0 UTA	BOS	UTA
2024-10-19	UTA 2 - 1 BOS	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	10	0	0.49
1	UTA	20	0	1.41
2	BOS	12	1	1.19
2	UTA	4	0	0.29
3	BOS	13	1	1.11
3	UTA	11	0	0.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 4 - 1 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1