Chicago Blackhawks at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2025-12-16 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 52.4%
CHI: 47.6%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.38
CHI: 3.30
Total Goals
Median: 7.5
Over 5.5: 77%
Over 6.5: 64%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 19-25-11 | 0.902 SV% | 2.82 GAA
| Stat | TOR | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.851 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.912 | 0.917 |
| GAA | 2.74 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • TOR at home vs CHI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 | TOR 3 - 2 CHI | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-11-15 | CHI 3 - 2 TOR | CHI | TOR |
| 2025-02-23 | CHI 2 - 5 TOR | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-12-02 | TOR 4 - 1 CHI | TOR | TOR |
| 2023-11-24 | CHI 4 - 3 TOR | CHI | TOR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:21 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 14:58 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 09:59 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 16:51 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 16:59 | TOR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.4 - 3.3
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