MTL vs PHI - 2025-12-16
2025-12-16 • Centre Bell
MTL 1 - 4 PHI
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 59.3%
PHI: 40.7%
Expected Goals
MTL: 3.14
PHI: 2.77
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 14-5-3 | 0.888 SV% | 3.01 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 16-7-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.42 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:00 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 19:39 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 06:26 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 19:10 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 18:25 | PHI | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
MTL 1 - 4 PHI
Expected: 3.1 - 2.8