New York Islanders at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2025-12-16 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 2 New York Islanders

Win Probability

DET: 52.9%

NYI: 47.1%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.91

NYI: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • DET at home vs NYI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-16	DET 3 - 2 NYI	DET	DET
2025-11-20	DET 0 - 5 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-10-23	NYI 7 - 2 DET	NYI	NYI
2024-11-25	NYI 2 - 4 DET	DET	NYI
2024-11-21	DET 2 - 1 NYI	DET	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	17	2	1.09
1	NYI	13	0	0.48
2	DET	10	1	0.78
2	NYI	11	0	0.43
3	DET	14	2	1.94
3	NYI	6	0	0.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 2 New York Islanders

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1