Vancouver Canucks at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2025-12-16 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 0 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 54.1%

VAN: 45.9%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.56

VAN: 2.77

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs VAN: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-16	NYR 0 - 3 VAN	VAN	NYR
2025-10-28	VAN 0 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-22	NYR 5 - 3 VAN	NYR	NYR
2024-11-19	VAN 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-01-08	NYR 3 - 6 VAN	VAN	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	15	2	1.30
1	VAN	6	0	0.36
2	NYR	12	1	1.02
2	VAN	7	0	0.41
3	NYR	15	0	0.62
3	VAN	15	2	1.55

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.3

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 0 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 2.6 - 2.8