Vancouver Canucks at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2025-12-16 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 0 - 3 Vancouver Canucks
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 58.3%
VAN: 41.7%
Expected Goals
NYR: 2.90
VAN: 2.94
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
| Stat | NYR | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.885 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.942 | 0.793 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.51 | 3.41 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • NYR at home vs VAN: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 | NYR 0 - 3 VAN | VAN | NYR |
| 2025-10-28 | VAN 0 - 2 NYR | NYR | VAN |
| 2025-03-22 | NYR 5 - 3 VAN | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-11-19 | VAN 3 - 4 NYR | NYR | VAN |
| 2024-01-08 | NYR 3 - 6 VAN | VAN | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:46 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 03:24 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 16:52 | VAN | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 0 - 3 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 2.9 - 2.9