Washington Capitals at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-12-16 • Grand Casino Arena
Minnesota Wild 5 - 0 Washington Capitals
🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 42.8%
WSH: 57.2%
Expected Goals
MIN: 2.69
WSH: 2.87
Total Goals
Median: 4.2
Over 5.5: 30%
Over 6.5: 19%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | MIN | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.836 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.929 | 0.929 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs WSH: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 | MIN 5 - 0 WSH | MIN | WSH |
| 2025-10-17 | WSH 5 - 1 MIN | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-03-27 | MIN 4 - 2 WSH | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-01-02 | WSH 3 - 4 MIN | MIN | WSH |
| 2024-01-23 | MIN 5 - 3 WSH | MIN | MIN |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 5 - 0 Washington Capitals
Expected: 2.7 - 2.9
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.