Washington Capitals at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-12-16 • Grand Casino Arena
Minnesota Wild 5 - 0 Washington Capitals
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 53.5%
WSH: 46.5%
Expected Goals
MIN: 2.59
WSH: 3.10
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 32%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
| Stat | MIN | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.895 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.929 | 0.929 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • MIN at home vs WSH: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 | MIN 5 - 0 WSH | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-10-17 | WSH 5 - 1 MIN | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-03-27 | MIN 4 - 2 WSH | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-01-02 | WSH 3 - 4 MIN | MIN | WSH |
| 2024-01-23 | MIN 5 - 3 WSH | MIN | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:09 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 12:51 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 14:12 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 08:53 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 04:23 | MIN | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 5 - 0 Washington Capitals
Expected: 2.6 - 3.1