Utah Hockey Club at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2025-12-17 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 1 - 4 Utah Hockey Club
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 58.1%
UTA: 41.9%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.35
UTA: 2.83
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
| Stat | DET | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.897 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.875 | 0.966 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 25% • DET at home vs UTA: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | UTA 4 - 1 DET | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-12-17 | DET 1 - 4 UTA | UTA | DET |
| 2025-03-24 | UTA 1 - 5 DET | DET | UTA |
| 2025-03-06 | DET 2 - 4 UTA | UTA | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 14:17 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 01:44 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 16:23 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 15:52 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 09:55 | UTA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 1 - 4 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8