Utah Hockey Club at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2025-12-17 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 4 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

DET: 44.6%

UTA: 55.4%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.41

UTA: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • DET at home vs UTA: 0-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	UTA 4 - 1 DET	UTA	UTA
2025-12-17	DET 1 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-03-24	UTA 1 - 5 DET	DET	UTA
2025-03-06	DET 2 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	17	1	1.03
1	UTA	11	0	0.64
2	DET	16	0	0.91
2	UTA	15	1	0.87
3	DET	7	0	0.43
3	UTA	14	1	1.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 4 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 2.4 - 3.2