Minnesota Wild at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2025-12-18 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 5 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CBJ: 52.7%

MIN: 47.3%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.14

MIN: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

MIN

Jesper Wallstedt - 11-2-3 | 0.928 SV% | 2.21 GAA

Stat	CBJ	MIN
Season SV%	0.909	0.928
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.62	2.21

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Jet Greaves	28	23	5	82.1%	4.38	4	-0.62
MIN	Jesper Wallstedt	29	27	2	93.1%	2.21	0	0.21

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CBJ at home vs MIN: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-18	CBJ 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	CBJ
2025-10-11	MIN 4 - 7 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2024-10-19	CBJ 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	CBJ
2024-10-10	MIN 3 - 2 CBJ	MIN	MIN
2024-01-06	CBJ 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	8	0	0.38
1	MIN	15	1	0.97
2	CBJ	24	0	1.16
2	MIN	13	0	0.75
3	CBJ	10	0	0.67
3	MIN	17	3	2.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown