Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2025-12-18 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 4 - 2 Seattle Kraken

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CGY: 54.6%

SEA: 45.4%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.45

SEA: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CGY

Dustin Wolf - 14-14-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.82 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Stat	CGY	SEA
Season SV%	0.901	0.903
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.82	2.77

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	Dustin Wolf	23	21	2	91.3%	2.11	2	0.11
SEA	Joey Daccord	46	42	4	91.3%	3.76	1	-0.24

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • CGY at home vs SEA: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SEA 4 - 1 CGY	SEA	SEA
2026-01-05	CGY 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-12-18	CGY 4 - 2 SEA	CGY	CGY
2025-03-25	CGY 4 - 3 SEA	CGY	CGY
2025-02-08	CGY 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	CGY

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	24	0	1.03
1	SEA	8	1	0.66
2	CGY	17	0	1.06
2	SEA	15	1	1.07
3	CGY	16	1	1.67
3	SEA	5	0	0.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown