Dallas Stars at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-12-18 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 3 - 5 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

SJS: 39.8%

DAL: 60.2%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.82

DAL: 3.57

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • SJS at home vs DAL: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-10	SJS 5 - 4 DAL	SJS	DAL
2025-12-18	SJS 3 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-12-05	DAL 4 - 1 SJS	DAL	DAL
2025-02-08	SJS 3 - 8 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-11-20	DAL 5 - 2 SJS	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	15	3	1.54
1	DAL	14	0	0.69
2	SJS	21	1	1.27
2	DAL	16	0	1.12
3	SJS	13	1	1.03
3	DAL	10	1	0.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 3 - 5 Dallas Stars

Expected: 2.8 - 3.6