Dallas Stars at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2025-12-18 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 3 - 5 Dallas Stars
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 47.2%
DAL: 52.8%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.82
DAL: 3.45
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | SJS | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.916 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.870 | 0.926 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • SJS at home vs DAL: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | SJS 5 - 4 DAL | SJS | DAL |
| 2025-12-18 | SJS 3 - 5 DAL | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-12-05 | DAL 4 - 1 SJS | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-02-08 | SJS 3 - 8 DAL | DAL | SJS |
| 2024-11-20 | DAL 5 - 2 SJS | DAL | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:25 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 17:38 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 01:43 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 08:40 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 16:44 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 19:17 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 04:32 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:42 | DAL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 3 - 5 Dallas Stars
Expected: 2.8 - 3.5
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