Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2025-12-19 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes (SO)
🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 48.9%
CAR: 51.1%
Expected Goals
FLA: 2.97
CAR: 3.31
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | FLA | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.833 | 0.930 |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • FLA at home vs CAR: 4-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | CAR 9 - 1 FLA | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-12-23 | CAR 2 - 5 FLA | FLA | CAR |
| 2025-12-19 | FLA 4 - 3 CAR | FLA | CAR |
| 2025-05-28 | CAR 3 - 5 FLA | FLA | CAR |
| 2025-05-26 | FLA 0 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:53 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 01:27 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 07:34 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 10:16 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 17:35 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 19:18 | FLA | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | FLA | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | FLA | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | FLA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 3.0 - 3.3
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