Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-12-19 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes (SO)

🚨 Upset Win (60% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 39.8%

CAR: 60.2%

Expected Goals

FLA: 2.84

CAR: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 43% • FLA at home vs CAR: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	CAR 9 - 1 FLA	CAR	CAR
2025-12-23	CAR 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR
2025-12-19	FLA 4 - 3 CAR	FLA	CAR
2025-05-28	CAR 3 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR
2025-05-26	FLA 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	18	0	0.94
1	CAR	13	0	0.60
2	FLA	14	0	1.06
2	CAR	18	0	0.91
3	FLA	20	2	1.76
3	CAR	11	3	1.98
4	FLA	3	0	0.25
4	CAR	3	1	0.42
5	FLA	4	2	1.79
5	CAR	4	1	1.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.8 - 3.2