Vancouver Canucks at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2025-12-19 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 1 - 4 Vancouver Canucks
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 58.9%
VAN: 41.1%
Expected Goals
NYI: 2.99
VAN: 2.89
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
| Stat | NYI | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.885 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.930 | 0.793 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.903 | 0.879 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 3.41 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • NYI at home vs VAN: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | VAN 3 - 4 NYI | NYI | VAN |
| 2025-12-19 | NYI 1 - 4 VAN | VAN | NYI |
| 2025-03-26 | NYI 2 - 5 VAN | VAN | NYI |
| 2024-11-14 | VAN 2 - 5 NYI | NYI | VAN |
| 2024-01-09 | NYI 2 - 5 VAN | VAN | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:47 | VAN | Goal |
| 1 | 10:35 | VAN | Goal |
| 1 | 08:57 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 18:39 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 14:55 | VAN | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 1 - 4 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.0 - 2.9