New Jersey Devils at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2025-12-19 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 1 - 2 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 56.3%
NJD: 43.7%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.20
NJD: 2.60
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 70%
Over 6.5: 52%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 25% • UTA at home vs NJD: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | NJD 4 - 1 UTA | NJD | UTA |
| 2025-12-19 | UTA 1 - 2 NJD | NJD | UTA |
| 2025-03-01 | UTA 1 - 3 NJD | NJD | UTA |
| 2024-10-14 | NJD 3 - 0 UTA | NJD | NJD |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UTA | 12 | 0 | 0.72 |
| 1 | NJD | 12 | 2 | 0.96 |
| 2 | UTA | 21 | 0 | 1.13 |
| 2 | NJD | 11 | 0 | 0.81 |
| 3 | UTA | 12 | 0 | 1.08 |
| 3 | NJD | 9 | 1 | 0.52 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 1 - 2 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 3.2 - 2.6
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