New Jersey Devils at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2025-12-19 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 1 - 2 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 60.5%
NJD: 39.5%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.17
NJD: 2.48
Total Goals
Median: 4.5
Over 5.5: 33%
Over 6.5: 20%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | UTA | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.878 | 0.873 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.885 | 0.969 |
| GAA | 2.68 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • UTA at home vs NJD: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | NJD 4 - 1 UTA | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-12-19 | UTA 1 - 2 NJD | NJD | UTA |
| 2025-03-01 | UTA 1 - 3 NJD | NJD | UTA |
| 2024-10-14 | NJD 3 - 0 UTA | NJD | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:35 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 11:21 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 04:20 | NJD | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 1 - 2 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 3.2 - 2.5
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.