Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2025-12-20 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 5 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers (SO)

Win Probability

NYR: 57.5%

PHI: 42.5%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.45

PHI: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • NYR at home vs PHI: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-09	PHI 2 - 6 NYR	NYR	PHI
2026-02-26	NYR 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	NYR
2026-01-17	PHI 3 - 6 NYR	NYR	PHI
2025-12-20	NYR 5 - 4 PHI	NYR	NYR
2025-04-09	NYR 5 - 8 PHI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	15	0	0.78
1	PHI	13	0	0.76
2	NYR	14	0	0.84
2	PHI	15	0	0.82
3	NYR	14	0	0.74
3	PHI	13	0	0.66
4	NYR	1	0	0.06
4	PHI	6	0	0.57
5	NYR	2	2	1.68
5	PHI	2	0	0.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 5 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0