Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2025-12-20 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 5 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers (SO)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 64.8%
PHI: 35.2%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.45
PHI: 2.89
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
| Stat | NYR | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.942 | 0.918 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.875 | — |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NYR at home vs PHI: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | NYR | ||
| 2026-01-17 | PHI 3 - 6 NYR | NYR | PHI |
| 2025-12-20 | NYR 5 - 4 PHI | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-04-09 | NYR 5 - 8 PHI | PHI | NYR |
| 2025-01-23 | NYR 6 - 1 PHI | NYR | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:24 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 14:36 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 12:23 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 10:18 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 07:05 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 06:42 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 17:26 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 09:13 | PHI | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | NYR | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | NYR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 64.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 5 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.5 - 2.9