Detroit Red Wings at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2025-12-20 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 2 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

WSH: 51.1%

DET: 48.9%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.30

DET: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 56%

WSH

Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA

DET

John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • WSH at home vs DET: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	DET 3 - 4 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-12-21	DET 3 - 2 WSH	DET	DET
2025-12-20	WSH 2 - 5 DET	DET	WSH
2025-03-18	WSH 4 - 1 DET	WSH	WSH
2025-03-07	WSH 5 - 2 DET	WSH	WSH

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	01:05	DET	Goal
2	01:37	DET	Goal
2	05:55	DET	Goal
2	10:05	DET	Goal
2	10:36	DET	Goal
3	08:30	DET	Goal
3	17:10	DET	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 2 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1