Detroit Red Wings at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2025-12-20 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 2 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

WSH: 49.0%

DET: 51.0%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.20

DET: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • WSH at home vs DET: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	DET 3 - 4 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-12-21	DET 3 - 2 WSH	DET	DET
2025-12-20	WSH 2 - 5 DET	DET	DET
2025-03-18	WSH 4 - 1 DET	WSH	WSH
2025-03-07	WSH 5 - 2 DET	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	8	0	0.43
1	DET	22	3	1.82
2	WSH	14	1	1.27
2	DET	19	2	1.90
3	WSH	20	0	0.93
3	DET	11	1	1.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 2 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1