Chicago Blackhawks at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2025-12-20 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 6 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

OTT: 68.7%

CHI: 31.3%

Expected Goals

OTT: 4.13

CHI: 2.56

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • OTT at home vs CHI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-20	OTT 6 - 4 CHI	OTT	OTT
2025-10-28	CHI 7 - 3 OTT	CHI	CHI
2025-04-15	OTT 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	OTT
2025-03-05	CHI 3 - 4 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-03-28	OTT 2 - 0 CHI	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	21	1	1.94
1	CHI	9	1	0.59
2	OTT	16	1	1.30
2	CHI	18	0	0.87
3	OTT	24	2	2.15
3	CHI	5	0	0.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 6 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 4.1 - 2.6