Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-12-20 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 5 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 48.8%

EDM: 51.2%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.76

EDM: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • MIN at home vs EDM: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	EDM 3 - 7 MIN	MIN	EDM
2025-12-20	MIN 5 - 2 EDM	MIN	EDM
2025-12-02	EDM 0 - 1 MIN	MIN	EDM
2025-01-15	MIN 3 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-12-12	MIN 1 - 7 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	18	1	1.93
1	EDM	19	1	1.93
2	MIN	12	1	0.88
2	EDM	13	0	0.90
3	MIN	16	2	2.77
3	EDM	11	0	0.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 5 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.8 - 3.1