New York Islanders at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2025-12-20 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 3 - 2 New York Islanders (SO)

Win Probability

BUF: 65.6%

NYI: 34.4%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.46

NYI: 2.71

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 42%

BUF

Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BUF at home vs NYI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	BUF 4 - 3 NYI	BUF	BUF
2026-01-24	NYI 0 - 5 BUF	BUF	NYI
2025-12-20	BUF 3 - 2 NYI	BUF	BUF
2024-12-23	NYI 1 - 7 BUF	BUF	NYI
2024-11-30	NYI 3 - 0 BUF	NYI	NYI

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	01:47	BUF	Goal
2	08:55	BUF	Goal
2	19:37	BUF	Goal
3	19:31	BUF	Goal
5	00:00	BUF	Goal
5	00:00	BUF	Goal
5	00:00	BUF	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 3 - 2 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.5 - 2.7