St. Louis Blues at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2025-12-20 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 2 - 6 St. Louis Blues
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 57.2%
STL: 42.8%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.18
STL: 2.98
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
| Stat | FLA | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.917 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.878 |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • FLA at home vs STL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | STL 5 - 4 FLA | STL | FLA |
| 2025-12-20 | FLA 2 - 6 STL | STL | FLA |
| 2025-02-06 | STL 2 - 3 FLA | FLA | FLA |
| 2024-12-20 | FLA 2 - 1 STL | FLA | FLA |
| 2024-01-09 | STL 1 - 5 FLA | FLA | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:59 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 01:55 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 07:35 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 12:45 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 19:59 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 12:02 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 12:53 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 16:28 | STL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 2 - 6 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0
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