Vancouver Canucks at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2025-12-20 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 4 - 5 Vancouver Canucks (SO)
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 55.4%
VAN: 44.6%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.27
VAN: 2.89
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 11-26-5 | 0.877 SV% | 3.65 GAA
| Stat | BOS | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.885 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.872 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.895 | 0.892 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 3.41 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BOS at home vs VAN: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | VAN 2 - 3 BOS | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-12-20 | BOS 4 - 5 VAN | VAN | BOS |
| 2024-12-14 | VAN 1 - 5 BOS | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-11-26 | BOS 0 - 2 VAN | VAN | BOS |
| 2024-02-24 | VAN 3 - 2 BOS | VAN | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:23 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 19:45 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 04:22 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 09:41 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 12:05 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 03:53 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 07:34 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 16:16 | BOS | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | BOS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 4 - 5 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9
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