Carolina Hurricanes at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions

2025-12-20 • Benchmark International Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning 6 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

TBL: 61.7%

CAR: 38.3%

Expected Goals

TBL: 3.20

CAR: 2.64

Total Goals

Median: 5.5

Over 5.5: 50%

Over 6.5: 36%

TBL

Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA

CAR

Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • TBL at home vs CAR: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	TBL 2 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-02-26	CAR 5 - 4 TBL	CAR	CAR
2025-12-20	TBL 6 - 4 CAR	TBL	TBL
2025-03-11	CAR 4 - 1 TBL	CAR	CAR
2025-01-07	TBL 3 - 2 CAR	TBL	CAR

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	02:42	CAR	Goal
1	04:00	CAR	Goal
1	12:27	CAR	Goal
2	00:30	CAR	Goal
2	01:20	CAR	Goal
2	16:36	TBL	Goal
3	02:47	CAR	Goal
3	03:13	TBL	Goal
3	06:38	TBL	Goal
3	19:33	TBL	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Tampa Bay Lightning 6 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.2 - 2.6