Toronto Maple Leafs at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-12-20 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 5 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs

Win Probability

NSH: 58.7%

TOR: 41.3%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.11

TOR: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NSH at home vs TOR: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-20	NSH 5 - 3 TOR	NSH	NSH
2025-10-14	TOR 7 - 4 NSH	TOR	TOR
2025-03-22	NSH 5 - 2 TOR	NSH	NSH
2024-12-04	TOR 3 - 2 NSH	TOR	TOR
2023-12-09	TOR 4 - 0 NSH	TOR	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	14	0	0.50
1	TOR	12	1	1.03
2	NSH	17	0	1.15
2	TOR	11	0	0.76
3	NSH	16	3	2.92
3	TOR	11	1	0.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 5 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1