Washington Capitals at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2025-12-21 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 2 Washington Capitals (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 57.5%
WSH: 42.5%
Expected Goals
DET: 2.82
WSH: 2.67
Total Goals
Median: 4.2
Over 5.5: 35%
Over 6.5: 23%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | DET | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.898 | 0.900 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • DET at home vs WSH: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | DET 3 - 4 WSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-12-21 | DET 3 - 2 WSH | DET | DET |
| 2025-12-20 | WSH 2 - 5 DET | DET | WSH |
| 2025-03-18 | WSH 4 - 1 DET | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-03-07 | WSH 5 - 2 DET | WSH | WSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:17 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 08:37 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 13:44 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 10:22 | DET | Goal |
| 4 | 04:36 | DET | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 2 Washington Capitals
Expected: 2.8 - 2.7
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