Colorado Avalanche at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-12-21 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 1 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

MIN: 23.8%

COL: 76.2%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.33

COL: 3.34

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • MIN at home vs COL: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-13	COL 4 - 3 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-11	MIN 2 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2026-05-09	MIN 5 - 1 COL	MIN	COL
2026-05-05	COL 5 - 2 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-03	COL 9 - 6 MIN	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	11	0	0.45
1	COL	24	2	1.95
2	MIN	20	0	0.92
2	COL	27	0	1.44
3	MIN	19	2	1.39
3	COL	11	2	1.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 76.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 1 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.3 - 3.3