Ottawa Senators at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2025-12-21 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 2 - 6 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 50.5%

OTT: 49.5%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.93

OTT: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • BOS at home vs OTT: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-21	BOS 2 - 6 OTT	OTT	BOS
2025-11-13	OTT 5 - 3 BOS	OTT	OTT
2025-11-06	BOS 3 - 2 OTT	BOS	OTT
2025-10-27	OTT 7 - 2 BOS	OTT	OTT
2025-03-13	OTT 6 - 3 BOS	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	10	1	0.75
1	OTT	16	4	1.73
2	BOS	13	0	0.84
2	OTT	16	2	1.11
3	BOS	14	0	0.91
3	OTT	8	1	0.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 2 - 6 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 2.9 - 3.3