Buffalo Sabres at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2025-12-21 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 1 - 3 Buffalo Sabres
🚨 Upset Loss (70% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 70.3%
BUF: 29.7%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.28
BUF: 2.66
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
| Stat | NJD | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.873 | 0.847 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.783 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NJD at home vs BUF: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | NJD 1 - 2 BUF | BUF | NJD |
| 2025-12-21 | NJD 1 - 3 BUF | BUF | NJD |
| 2025-11-28 | BUF 0 - 5 NJD | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-02-02 | BUF 4 - 3 NJD | BUF | NJD |
| 2024-10-05 | NJD 3 - 1 BUF | NJD | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:51 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 02:26 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 16:05 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 17:59 | BUF | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 70.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 1 - 3 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.3 - 2.7
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