Montreal Canadiens at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2025-12-21 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 3 Montreal Canadiens (SO)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 60.0%
MTL: 40.0%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.09
MTL: 2.86
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | PIT | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.886 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.850 | 0.903 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PIT at home vs MTL: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 | PIT 4 - 3 MTL | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-12-20 | MTL 4 - 0 PIT | MTL | PIT |
| 2025-12-11 | PIT 2 - 4 MTL | MTL | PIT |
| 2024-12-12 | MTL 2 - 9 PIT | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-11-02 | PIT 3 - 1 MTL | PIT | PIT |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 3 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.1 - 2.9
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.