Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2025-12-21 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 61.2%
VGK: 38.8%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.47
VGK: 3.21
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
| Stat | EDM | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 54% • EDM at home vs VGK: 5-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 | EDM 4 - 3 VGK | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-05-14 | VGK 0 - 1 EDM | EDM | VGK |
| 2025-05-12 | EDM 3 - 0 VGK | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-05-10 | EDM 3 - 4 VGK | VGK | EDM |
| 2025-05-08 | VGK 4 - 5 EDM | EDM | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:37 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 09:11 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 12:59 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 07:45 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 02:22 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 05:49 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 03:52 | EDM | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.5 - 3.2