Columbus Blue Jackets at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-12-22 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets

🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

LAK: 64.3%

CBJ: 35.7%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.26

CBJ: 2.78

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

LAK

Anton Forsberg - 6-6-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.70 GAA

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

Stat	LAK	CBJ
Season SV%	0.901	0.909
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.70	2.62

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Anton Forsberg	30	27	3	90.0%	2.54	0	-0.46
CBJ	Jet Greaves	24	23	1	95.8%	2.74	2	1.74

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs CBJ: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-09	CBJ 4 - 5 LAK	LAK	CBJ
2025-12-22	LAK 1 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	LAK
2025-01-25	CBJ 3 - 2 LAK	CBJ	LAK
2024-11-09	LAK 5 - 2 CBJ	LAK	LAK
2024-02-20	LAK 5 - 1 CBJ	LAK	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	15	1	1.29
1	CBJ	16	0	0.78
2	LAK	13	0	0.63
2	CBJ	17	0	1.25
3	LAK	11	1	0.81
3	CBJ	11	0	0.50

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 64.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown