Dallas Stars at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2025-12-23 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 4 - 3 Dallas Stars (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 69.6%
DAL: 30.4%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.58
DAL: 2.54
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | DET | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.864 | — |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • DET at home vs DAL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-23 | DET 4 - 3 DAL | DET | DET |
| 2025-04-14 | DET 6 - 4 DAL | DET | DET |
| 2025-01-19 | DAL 4 - 1 DET | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-01-23 | DET 4 - 5 DAL | DAL | DET |
| 2023-12-11 | DAL 6 - 3 DET | DAL | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:23 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 19:16 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 10:47 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 15:57 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 11:18 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 03:02 | DET | Goal |
| 4 | 00:34 | DET | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 69.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 4 - 3 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.6 - 2.5