New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2025-12-23 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 2 - 1 New Jersey Devils
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 62.8%
NJD: 37.2%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.40
NJD: 2.85
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | NYI | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.930 | 0.899 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.971 | 0.808 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 27% • NYI at home vs NJD: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | NJD 1 - 3 NYI | NYI | NJD |
| 2026-01-06 | NYI 9 - 0 NJD | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-12-23 | NYI 2 - 1 NJD | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-11-10 | NJD 2 - 3 NYI | NYI | NJD |
| 2025-04-13 | NJD 0 - 1 NYI | NYI | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:35 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 12:10 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 18:45 | NYI | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 2 - 1 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 3.4 - 2.9