New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-12-23 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 2 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

NYI: 61.7%

NJD: 38.3%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.33

NJD: 2.66

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • NYI at home vs NJD: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NJD 1 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2026-01-06	NYI 9 - 0 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-12-23	NYI 2 - 1 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-11-10	NJD 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2025-04-13	NJD 0 - 1 NYI	NYI	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	13	1	1.26
1	NJD	19	0	1.04
2	NYI	21	2	1.73
2	NJD	8	1	0.47
3	NYI	13	0	0.60
3	NJD	22	3	2.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 2 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.3 - 2.7