Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-12-23 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 5 Florida Panthers
🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 62.6%
FLA: 37.4%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.43
FLA: 2.26
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 33%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
| Stat | CAR | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.915 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.930 | 0.833 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs FLA: 3-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | CAR 9 - 1 FLA | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-12-23 | CAR 2 - 5 FLA | FLA | CAR |
| 2025-12-19 | FLA 4 - 3 CAR | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-05-28 | CAR 3 - 5 FLA | FLA | CAR |
| 2025-05-26 | FLA 0 - 3 CAR | CAR | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:11 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 01:58 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 15:21 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 09:57 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 07:00 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 06:17 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 03:53 | CAR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 5 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.4 - 2.3