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Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-12-23 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 5 - 1 Calgary Flames

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
EDM: 51.8%
CGY: 48.2%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.32
CGY: 3.04
Total Goals
Median: 6.9
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 55%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
StatEDMCGY
Season SV%0.9060.901
Last 5 SV%0.8370.904
SV% vs Opponent0.8400.905
GAA2.732.82
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • EDM at home vs CGY: 3-3
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-02-04CGY 4 - 3 EDMCGYEDM
2025-12-27CGY 3 - 2 EDMCGYCGY
2025-12-23EDM 5 - 1 CGYEDMEDM
2025-10-08EDM 3 - 4 CGYCGYCGY
2025-03-29EDM 3 - 2 CGYEDMEDM

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
106:48EDMGoal
115:58EDMGoal
119:43EDMGoal
201:59EDMGoal
211:56EDMGoal
305:38EDMGoal

🎯 Shot Chart

Shot chart for Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 5 - 1 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.3 - 3.0