San Jose Sharks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2025-12-23 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 7 - 2 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 70.5%
SJS: 29.5%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.68
SJS: 2.30
Total Goals
Median: 5.1
Over 5.5: 39%
Over 6.5: 25%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
| Stat | VGK | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.870 | 0.787 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • VGK at home vs SJS: 5-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 | SJS 2 - 7 VGK | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-12-23 | VGK 7 - 2 SJS | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-11-29 | VGK 4 - 3 SJS | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-10-09 | SJS 3 - 4 VGK | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-01-07 | SJS 2 - 4 VGK | VGK | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:46 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 09:07 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 11:37 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 14:57 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 18:34 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 06:49 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 18:50 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 05:22 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 08:04 | VGK | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 70.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 7 - 2 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.7 - 2.3
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.