Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2025-12-27 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 3 - 4 Washington Capitals (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 58.4%
WSH: 41.6%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.26
WSH: 2.96
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
| Stat | NJD | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.899 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.928 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 10% • NJD at home vs WSH: 0-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-27 | NJD 3 - 4 WSH | WSH | NJD |
| 2025-11-15 | WSH 2 - 3 NJD | NJD | WSH |
| 2024-11-30 | NJD 5 - 6 WSH | WSH | NJD |
| 2024-11-23 | WSH 2 - 3 NJD | NJD | WSH |
| 2024-10-19 | NJD 5 - 6 WSH | WSH | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:59 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 17:33 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 04:56 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 09:17 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 07:32 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 07:00 | NJD | Goal |
| 4 | 04:06 | WSH | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 3 - 4 Washington Capitals
Expected: 3.3 - 3.0