Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-12-27 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 4 Washington Capitals (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 62.2%

WSH: 37.8%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.60

WSH: 2.54

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA

WSH

Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NJD at home vs WSH: 1-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	NJD 7 - 3 WSH	NJD	NJD
2026-03-20	WSH 2 - 1 NJD	WSH	NJD
2025-12-27	NJD 3 - 4 WSH	WSH	NJD
2025-11-15	WSH 2 - 3 NJD	NJD	WSH
2024-11-30	NJD 5 - 6 WSH	WSH	NJD

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	19:59	WSH	Goal
2	04:56	NJD	Goal
2	17:33	WSH	Goal
3	07:00	NJD	Goal
3	07:32	NJD	Goal
3	09:17	NJD	Goal
4	04:06	WSH	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 4 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.6 - 2.5