Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2025-12-27 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Minnesota Wild (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 53.7%
MIN: 46.3%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.20
MIN: 3.27
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
| Stat | WPG | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.867 | 0.836 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.898 | 0.867 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • WPG at home vs MIN: 4-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | MIN 2 - 6 WPG | WPG | MIN |
| 2025-12-27 | WPG 3 - 4 MIN | MIN | WPG |
| 2025-11-23 | WPG 0 - 3 MIN | MIN | WPG |
| 2025-10-28 | MIN 3 - 4 WPG | WPG | MIN |
| 2024-12-21 | WPG 5 - 0 MIN | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:36 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 18:29 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 07:33 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 17:56 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 19:57 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 19:38 | WPG | Goal |
| 4 | 00:39 | MIN | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.2 - 3.3
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