Nashville Predators at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-12-27 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 3 - 2 Nashville Predators

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

STL: 61.2%

NSH: 38.8%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.17

NSH: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 41%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Stat	STL	NSH
Season SV%	0.901	0.897
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.87	2.93

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Joel Hofer	32	30	2	93.8%	3.68	1	1.68
NSH	Juuse Saros	20	17	3	85.0%	3.55	2	0.55

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • STL at home vs NSH: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	NSH 6 - 5 STL	NSH	NSH
2025-12-27	STL 3 - 2 NSH	STL	STL
2025-12-15	STL 2 - 5 NSH	NSH	STL
2025-12-11	NSH 7 - 2 STL	NSH	STL
2025-03-27	NSH 2 - 3 STL	STL	STL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	11	1	1.35
1	NSH	13	1	0.85
2	STL	13	0	1.11
2	NSH	19	0	1.22
3	STL	10	1	1.09
3	NSH	20	0	1.61

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown