Chicago Blackhawks at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-12-27 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 3 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks (SO)

Win Probability

DAL: 49.6%

CHI: 50.4%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.39

CHI: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • DAL at home vs CHI: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-08	DAL 4 - 3 CHI	DAL	DAL
2026-01-01	CHI 4 - 3 DAL	CHI	CHI
2025-12-27	DAL 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	CHI
2024-12-29	CHI 1 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-11-27	CHI 6 - 2 DAL	CHI	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	14	1	1.05
1	CHI	11	0	0.58
2	DAL	10	3	1.22
2	CHI	14	1	0.92
3	DAL	18	5	2.34
3	CHI	14	2	1.03
4	DAL	4	1	0.50
4	CHI	2	0	0.11
5	DAL	3	1	0.84
5	CHI	4	2	1.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 3 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9